Archive for September, 2008

On Long Tail, Global Sourcing, and Online Marketplaces

The Long Tail effect seems to be making its way into yet another business domain. This time it is the domain of sourcing, or more specifically sourcing of business services. According to the classical rules of Long Tail, the spread of the Internet and the evolution of web technologies have led to drastic reductions in search and transaction costs, which in turn enabled a large number of small local players, both on the supply and demand sides, to join the global market. These firms carry out a large number of small-value transactions, which together make up a respectable size market. If the trend continues in the future, it is likely to change the way firms create and manage their outsourcing portfolios. It will also further propel the much-touted e-lance economy.

Various terms have been used to describe the phenomenon, including Online Freelance Marketplaces, Online Programming Marketplaces, Person-to-Person Offshoring, Electronic Market for Services etc. We prefer the broad umbrella term Online Sourcing Marketplaces (OSMs) that captures most of the individual flavours. OSM is an Internet environment where buyers and suppliers of business services can meet, offer and bid for jobs, settle contracts, and carry out financial transactions. A number of online platforms currently provide such environments. Some of the bigger players include GetAFreelancer, Elance.com, GetACoder, RentACoder, Guru.com, and AgaveBlue. While most of these firms are based in the US (with a few exceptions), the audience they serve is truly global with both suppliers and buyers coming from different countries around the world.

So how do OSMs work? The majority employs the reverse auction model. In a nutshell, the buyer posts a project and receives bids from potential suppliers. The buyer then selects a supplier and awards the project based on the bid amount as well as other criteria, such as delivery time, suppliers’ reputational ratings etc. The parties manage the project by communicating via a private message board and other online means provided by the OSM platform. Once the work is completed, the buyer has to approve it and pay the supplier. At this point, the buyer also leaves feedback and rates the supplier on how well the project has been executed. Hearsay evidence suggests that in order to mitigate quality control risks, buyers often award the same contract to multiple suppliers. Although this implies paying multiple times for the same project, in the end the buyer can choose from several alternatives and pick the best one for the final rollout.

The range of services currently traded on OSMs is quite broad. The top three categories include IT-related jobs, design and multimedia, and writing and translation. Significant activity has been also recorded in other areas such as administrative support, legal services, and sales and marketing. Keeping true with the Long Tail principle, the average OSM deal amount remains low and hovers between US $100 and $5000. The majority of projects on Guru.com, for example, sells for US $700 or less. While it is difficult to come up with a reliable estimate for the overall market size, Evalueserve, a research and analytics services firm, suggests that in 2007 OSMs earned more than US $250 million in revenue (this comes mostly from registration and project commission fees). This estimate is consistent with the figures reported by individual OSM providers. Elance.com, for example, expects its total billing in 2008 to rise 50% and reach US $60 million, while Guru.com forecasts revenues of US $26 million in 2008. Most firms also report a double to triple digit growth in the number of subscribers and projects.

While the OSM phenomenon has been around for a number of years, it remains new and poorly understood by most firms. This summer we started a research project here at IESE looking at how and why firms engage in offering and providing services via OSMs. Our goal is to take a comprehensive view and try to understand the key benefits, challenges, and success factors for all the stakeholders involved. To accomplish this we will need to get input from a wide range of firms and individuals, including OSM platforms providers, buyers, and supplies. If you have been involved in any of these capacities in an OSM project, we encourage you to participate in the study. To do so, please leave your feedback on this blog or send us an email.

HP-EDS Merger

A huge story in the IT world this week was the announcement of the acquisition of Electronic Data Systems by Hewlett-Packard. Information Week reported that the deal is the largest in the outsourcing sector’s history, and that it is the second largest ever in the IT industry overall (It’s second only to HP’s $19 billion buyout of computer maker Compaq in 2002).

Cnet says that the sheer size of the deal is daunting. The deal represents the combination of the largest number of people that the IT services sector has seen, and HP faces serious challenges when it comes to integrating two very different companies. As Cnet reports, the track record of deals like this is not very good.

However, this deal may be necessary for HP to compete with IBM, which is the most comprehensive IT services provider. Unfortunately, HP has struggled to grow its services business internally. Despite publicly stating its intention to become a leader in the outsourcing market and investing accordingly, the company often found itself behind competitors like IBM, Accenture and EDS when big deals were handed out.

With the combined resources of HP and EDS, the CEO of EDS-HP said that the company will have “the capability to serve our clients–whatever their size, location or sector–with one of the most comprehensive and competitive portfolios in the industry.”

One challenge related to the merger, pointed out by Justin Scheck on a NYtimes blog, is that the new EDS-HP will need to boost profits. Competitors have done that in part by outsourcing to places like India. However, EDS-HP may try to do this through automating functions now performed by people. HP has already started a big automation push, as the company has acquired several software-based automation companies over the last few years.

Another concern with the merger stems from the fact that EDS was technology neutral, buying from several vendors, including Sun Microsystems, Xerox, Cisco Systems, Microsoft and SAP. HP is expected to push its own hardware, which may upset delicate relationships with EDS partners like Sun.

EDS-HP will have 7% of the IT services market; however, this will still be second to IBM, which has 10% of the market. It will be interesting to see how well EDS-HP is able offer a comprehensive services portfolio similar to IBM as well as cut costs in order to complete with smaller competitors.

Google Chrome: A new platform for web applications.

The big news in the computing world this week was Google’s unexpected announcement of a new web browser, Chrome (www.google.com/chrome).

The first question that many people had, including David Pogue of the New York times, was “Does the world really need an other Web browser?” Well, Google’s answer is likely that the web is evolving into a place where more than information is being shared. Now websites also serve applications (such as Google Docs) to people’s web browsers. And with Chrome, Google set out to build a browser that’s a platform for running Web applications in addition to being an information viewer.

While other browsers allow applications to run, they were not designed to optimize this process, and so they are getting more and more inefficient as applications get more complex. Chrome is designed to run application code faster and it is integrated with Google Gears, which is a system that allows you to run web-based applications when you are offline.

Chrome is in a public test phase (beta), and it does have compatibility problems with some sites. Many sites simply don’t recognize the browser’s existence yet, but this should change fast, as Google is a powerful player in the web arena that sites don’t want to ignore. Also, Chrome will be open source, and so individuals should be able to add functionality to the browser. Chrome was built using open source code from the WebKit rendering engine used by Apple’s Safari and from Mozilla’s Firefox, which is open source as well, so its inner-workings will have similarities to those browsers.

So, how do professional reviewers feel about the browser? PCmag.com says that Chrome has one of the simplest download and install process they’ve ever seen, which makes checking it out very easy. However, they also say that they don’t yet see a compelling reason to switch to Chrome for your everyday browsing. PCworld.com says that some individuals may be worried about Google’s privacy practices and how much of your data it shares with advertisers. As they say “Google will now have total control over your experience from the time you open Chrome to the time you shut down.” Lastly, the NYtimes.com says that “you should do exactly what Microsoft, Apple and the Firefox folks will all be doing: try it out and keep your eye on it.” My feeling is that if Chrome runs web-based applications better than its competitors, it will become a very popular browser. It will also be interesting to see how Google integrates its other web-based offerings with the browser – this integration could also affect Chrome’s value and popularity.

Good morning world!

Today is a special day, at least for us. Today, we launch the IESE IS Department blog. In this blog, we will post and comment news about information and communication technology and how it is managed and used in organizations. In this vein, we will also comment on recent developments in the IT industry.

But, who are we? I’m Sandra Sieber, currently Head of the IS Department at IESE Business School. My colleagues also joining this blog are professors Rafael Andreu, Gabriel Giordano, Evgeny Kaganer and Josep Valor.

Interested? Please do join our conversation!